Article-Journal

Global Tides on Local Shores: How Do International Capital Flows Affect House Prices?

An interpretative survey of the literature on how international capital flows affect house prices, published in the Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Economics and Finance.

mathias-hoffmann

Branch Banking and Regional Financial Markets: Evidence from Prewar Japan

Based on historical bank branch-level lending and deposit data from 1920s' Japan, we show how branch banking integrated peripheral markets with the rest of the country, with large …

mathias-hoffmann

Softening the Blow: U.S. State-Level Banking Deregulation and Sectoral Reallocation after the China Trade Shock

U.S. state-level banking deregulation during the 1980s considerably dampened the fallout on local economies of the China trade shock a decade later. The reason: households in …

mathias-hoffmann

Small Firms and Domestic Bank Dependence in Europe's Great Recession

After the inception of the euro, the real economy in most member countries remained dependent on credit by domestic banks, which increasingly funded themselves through cross-border …

mathias-hoffmann

`By a Silken Thread': Regional Banking Integration and Credit Reallocation during Japan's Lost Decade

During Japan's Lost Decade, regional credit reallocation by nationwide ('integrated') banks mitigated the real effects from the bank liquidity shock in prefectures with many …

mathias-hoffmann

Holes in the Dike: The Global Savings Glut, U.S. House Prices, and the Long Shadow of Banking Deregulation

The global savings glut (i.e. capital flows from China and other emerging economies into the U.S.) contributed significantly to the rise and fall of U.S. house prices prior to and …

mathias-hoffmann

Channels of Risk Sharing in the Eurozone: What Can Banking and Capital Market Union Achieve?

Risk sharing in the EMU collapsed during the eurozone crisis. We show that one important reason for this was that there was too little direct (i.e. bank-to-real-sector) …

mathias-hoffmann

Systematic Consumption Risk in Currency Returns

Sorting currencies on past consumption growth is equivalent to sorting them on interest rates: during normal times, high past-consumption-growth currencies appreciate more …

mathias-hoffmann

A Provincial View of Global Imbalances: Regional Capital Flows in China

This piece zooms in on the drivers of province-level capital flows in China. They are much the same as those driving aggregate flows: expected rising prices of non-tradables such …

samuel-cudre

The Consumption--Income Ratio, Entrepreneurial Risk, and the U.S. Stock Market

The paper shows that variation in the aggregate U.S. consumption-income ratio is dominated by variation in entrepreneurial income and predicts excess returns on the U.S. stock …

mathias-hoffmann